WASHINGTON: Donald Trump is expected to launch his re-election campaign Tuesday (Jun 18), kicking off an age-old battle that most sitting US presidents wage for four more years of power.Recent history suggests that the 2020 advantage goes to Trump - although Democrats have fielded an extraordinarily diverse group of candidates pursuing the nomination, and the brash New York billionaire has been saddled with scandal and calls for his impeachment.Can Democrats overcome Trump's dominant position and reclaim the White House? Here is a look at how the power of incumbency impacts presidential politics.IS PAST PROLOGUE?Of America's 44 previous presidents, just 15 served two full consecutive terms. But recent elections have especially favored sitting presidents.Since World War II, only three incumbent candidates have failed to win re-election. The three presidents prior to Trump - Bill Clinton, George W Bush and Barack Obama - all won two terms.ADVANTAGESModern-day presidents are … [Read more...] about Incumbency is powerful. Is Trump poised for re-election?
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How (not) to bond over Trump on Father’s Day I always had this feeling that, as I got older, my dad and I would become more alike. Yes, there are many ways in which we have. Maybe not the hair loss (genetic; I got my mom’s hair), but his general amiability, his sense of adventure — after all, my dad did once hop on a plane to visit us in Manila on his own, and ended up getting into daily interactions with jeepneys, kalesas, EDSA on foot, single available Filipinas and other local attractions that would qualify him for Amazing Race Asia. Nowadays, though, his health is less robust, and I worry about him often, living alone in Massachusetts. Going to the corner 7-Eleven to score a lottery ticket is about as adventurous as it gets. His pet parrot and dog have joined the Choir Invisible, so he’s all alone most of the time. What keeps him company, I suspect, is TV shouting alarmist things at him, most waking hours; radio, filling in the … [Read more...] about How (not) to bond over Trump on Father’s Day
Jakarta. As we near the end of the first half of 2019, this might be the time to assess the current state of the global economy and to evaluate investment opportunities within it. One approach we can use is "Global Macro," an investment strategy that makes use of economic theory to make educated guesses about the macroeconomic environment and interpret geopolitical events to inform large-scale investments around the world. Famous name synonymous with this investment strategy (or trading strategy, if you will) include legendary hedge fund managers George Soros and Ray Dalio. One of the most interesting theories on the current global economy is one that views Donald Trump's economic policies as pretty much identical to those of Ronald Reagan's. Even Trump's "Make America Great Again" slogan was copied from Reagan. In 1985-1986, Soros turned out a deep analysis of Reagan's … [Read more...] about Trumponomics: Make America Reagan Again?
Selena Gomez shocked everyone when she joked that she and Bill Murray are getting married. The acclaimed singer recently gave her first TV interview of this year and talked in detail about her friendship with the Groundhog Day movie star and what exactly he whispered to her during their viral Cannes Film Festival photos.During the Cannes Film Festival, Selena Gomez walked the red carpet with her The Dead Don't Die co-star Bill Murray. The released pictures showed Bill whispering something to Selena. What made every head turn was when Justin Bieber's ex-girlfriend took to Instagram and stated that she and Bill Murray are going to get married. Earlier this week, she talked to Jimmy Fallon on her talk show about Bill Murray.Jimmy Fallon showed Selena the viral pictures of her and Bill Murray. For which, the "Wolves" singer admitted that these pictures look weird but added that Bill was whispering dumb things to her and was enquiring about her whereabouts. In addition to this, he was in a … [Read more...] about Selena Gomez opened up about Bill Murray, says he’s a big kid
There were rumours circulating on the Internet about fan favourite Arya Stark dying in the second episode of the eighth and final season of Game Of Thrones (GOT). Fans know not to discount such talk because the hit fantasy series is notorious for killing off main characters mid-show, several in spectacular fashion. So when Maisie Williams, who plays Arya, went on The Tonight Show earlier this month and let slip that her character dies to host Jimmy Fallon, you could hear a pin drop in the studio audience as they totally bought her convincing horror at spilling a major spoiler. But it turned out to be an April Fool's joke, so everyone was relieved, that is, if they believed her. Well, the second episode aired last week and not only does Arya not die, she asks hunky blacksmith Gendry (Joe Dempsie) to have sex with her the night before the big Battle of Winterfell begins, because she wants to know what that feels like in case there is no tomorrow. But earlier, at our interview at the … [Read more...] about Maisie Williams feels she already won, having made it this far in GOT